Examinando por Autor "Ibrahim, Quazi"

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  • Publicación
    Acceso abierto
    Global variations in the prevalence, treatment, and impact of atrial fibrillation in a multi-national cohort of 153 152 middle-aged individuals
    (Oxford Academic, 2021-06-05) Joseph, Philip; Healey, Jeffrey S.; Raina, Parminder; Connolly, Stuart J.; Ibrahim, Quazi; Gupta, Rajeev; Avezum, Alvaro; Dans, Antonio; Lopez-Jaramillo, Patricio; Yeates, Karen; Teo, Koon; Douma, Reuben; Bahonar, Ahmad; Chifamba, Jephat; Lanas, Fernando; Dagenais, Gilles R.; Lear, Scott; Kumar, Rajesh; Kengne, Andre P.; Keskinler, Mirac; Mohan, Viswanathan; Mony, Prem; Alhabib, Khalid F.; Huisman, Hugo; Iype, Thomas; Zatonska, Katarzyna; Ismail, Rosnah; Kazmi, Khawar; Rosengren, Annika; Rahman, Omar; Yusufali, Afzalhussein; Wei, Li; Orlandini, Andres; Islam, Shofiqul; Rangarajan, Sumathy; Yusuf, Salim; The PURE Investigators; Masira
    Aims To compare the prevalence of electrocardiogram (ECG)-documented atrial fibrillation (or flutter) (AF) across eight regions of the world, and to examine antithrombotic use and clinical outcomes. Methods and results Baseline ECGs were collected in 153 152 middle-aged participants (ages 35–70 years) to document AF in two community-based studies, spanning 20 countries. Medication use and clinical outcome data (mean follow-up of 7.4 years) were available in one cohort. Cross-sectional analyses were performed to document the prevalence of AF and medication use, and associations between AF and clinical events were examined prospectively. Mean age of participants was 52.1 years, and 57.7% were female. Age and sex-standardized prevalence of AF varied 12-fold between regions; with the highest in North America, Europe, China, and Southeast Asia (270–360 cases per 100 000 persons); and lowest in the Middle East, Africa, and South Asia (30–60 cases per 100 000 persons) (P < 0.001). Compared with low-income countries (LICs), AF prevalence was 7-fold higher in middle-income countries (MICs) and 11-fold higher in high-income countries (HICs) (P < 0.001). Differences in AF prevalence remained significant after adjusting for traditional AF risk factors. In LICs/MICs, 24% of participants with AF and a CHADS2 score ≥1 received antithrombotic therapy, compared with 85% in HICs. AF was associated with an increased risk of stroke [hazard ratio (HR) 2.29; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.49–3.52] and death (HR 2.97; 95% CI 2.25–3.93); with similar rates in different countries grouped by income level. Conclusions Large variations in AF prevalence occur in different regions and countries grouped by income level, but this is only partially explained by traditional AF risk factors. Antithrombotic therapy is infrequently used in poorer countries despite the high risk of stroke associated with AF.
  • Publicación
    Restringido
    Prognostic validation of a non-laboratory and a laboratory based cardiovascular disease risk score in multiple regions of the world
    (2018) Joseph, Philip; Yusuf, Salim; Lee, Shun Fu; Ibrahim, Quazi; Teo, Koon; Rangarajan, Sumathy; Gupta, Rajeev; Rosengren, Annika; Lear, Scott A.; Avezum, Alvaro; Lopez-Jaramillo, Patricio; Gulec, Sadi; Yusufali, Afzalhussein; Chifamba, Jephat; Lanas, Fernando; Kumar, Rajesh; Mohammadifard, Noushin; Mohan, Viswanathan; Mony, Prem; Kruger, Annamarie; Liu, Xu; Guo, Baoxia; Zhao, Wenqi; Yang, Youzhu; Pillai, Rajamohanan; Diaz, Rafael; Krishnapillai, Ambigga; Iqbal, Romaina; Yusuf, Rita; Szuba, Andrzej; Anand, Sonia S.
    Objective To evaluate the performance of the non-laboratory INTERHEART risk score (NL-IHRS) to predict incident cardiovascular disease (CVD) across seven major geographic regions of the world. The secondary objective was to evaluate the performance of the fasting cholesterol-based IHRS (FC-IHRS). Methods Using measures of discrimination and calibration, we tested the performance of the NL-IHRS (n=100 475) and FC-IHRS (n=107 863) for predicting incident CVD in a community-based, prospective study across seven geographic regions: South Asia, China, Southeast Asia, Middle East, Europe/North America, South America and Africa. CVD was defined as the composite of cardiovascular death, myocardial infarction, stroke, heart failure or coronary revascularisation. Results Mean age of the study population was 50.53 (SD 9.79) years and mean follow-up was 4.89 (SD 2.24) years. The NL-IHRS had moderate to good discrimination for incident CVD across geographic regions (concordance statistic (C-statistic) ranging from 0.64 to 0.74), although recalibration was necessary in all regions, which improved its performance in the overall cohort (increase in C-statistic from 0.69 to 0.72, p<0.001). Regional recalibration was also necessary for the FC-IHRS, which also improved its overall discrimination (increase in C-statistic from 0.71 to 0.74, p<0.001). In 85 078 participants with complete data for both scores, discrimination was only modestly better with the FC-IHRS compared with the NL-IHRS (0.74 vs 0.73, p<0.001). Conclusions External validations of the NL-IHRS and FC-IHRS suggest that regionally recalibrated versions of both can be useful for estimating CVD risk across a diverse range of community-based populations. CVD prediction using a non-laboratory score can provide similar accuracy to laboratory-based methods.